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Scenario description

EnerBase

EnerBase describes a world in which existing policies and historical trends are continued without any further climate ambition. The lack of support for GHG emission mitigation affects entire energy systems over a long period, with increasing energy demand and limited fuel diversification. This scenario leads to a temperature rise above 3°C.

EnerBlue

EnerBlue is based on the successful achievement of NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions) and other national pledges for 2030, as well as a continuation of consistent efforts post 2030. Sustained growth in emerging countries is a powerful driver of global energy demand, but policies play a key role in controlling the pace of growth. This scenario leads to a global temperature rise of around 2.5°C.

EnerGreen

EnerGreen explores the implications of more stringent climate policies, with countries fulfilling or overachieving their NDC commitments and then regularly revising their emissions goals. These changes lead to significant improvements in energy efficiency and a strong deployment of renewables. In this cleaner trajectory, global temperature increase is limited to well below 2 °C.

EnerFuture: Global Energy Forecasts

EnerFuture provides energy projections up to 2050. Our service offers clear insight into the future of energy demand, prices and GHG emissions.

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MACC: Marginal Abatement Cost Curves

Enerdata's long-term MACC allow you to gain unique insight and comprehensive data from the globally recognised POLES model.

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11

Apr

According to a white paper from the China Energy Storage Alliance (CNESA), China’s battery storage capacity addition is expected to slow down from 34.5 GW in 2023 to 30.1 GW in 2024 (-13%) under conservative estimates, as energy storage struggles with low profitability, cause most notably by high upfront costs. With more favourable conditions, new addition in China are forecast to increase by almost a fifth in 2024 to 41.2 GW, which remains, however, below the projected 35% global growth rate of battery storage capacity addition. China needs battery storage as a back up to integrate rising intermittent renewables capacity into power grids, in a context where gas-fired capacity is limited. 

10

Apr

The local Chinese government of the Shanxi province has published the "2024 Work Plan for Stable Coal Production and Supply in Shanxi Province", proposing a slight reduction in the coal output to reach 1.3 Gt during 2024. Citing safety concerns and weak demand that caused a fall in prices, the province will voluntarily reduce 4% of its coal output from the 1.36 Gt produced in 2023. However, production is expected to increase in the coming months to reach the 1.3 Gt of coal during 2024, due to mines working under 70% of the registered production capacity because of production restrictions.

29

Mar

According to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA), the US gas production increased by 4% in 2023, thanks to a higher output in the three largest producing regions of Appalachia, Permian, and Haynesville, which jointly accounted for 59% of all natural gas production in the United States. The Appalachia region accounted for 29% of domestic gas production but its output growth slowed down in 2023 due to insufficient pipeline capacity to serve demand markets (no new major pipeline capacity addition in 2023). The Permian region accounted for 19% of domestic production and its gas production grew by 13% in a context of high oil prices boosting oil and associated gas production. Finally, the Haynesville region accounted for 13% of domestic production, with a slower production growth owing to low natural gas prices. The EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook expects a modest production contraction in 2024, due to low natural gas prices and a relatively stable rig count. 

25

Mar

The US Department of Energy (DOE) has released the Atlantic Offshore Wind Transmission Study, a two-year study evaluating transmission options to support offshore wind energy deployment along the Atlantic Coast of the United States. The study was based on deploying 85 GW of offshore wind off the Atlantic Coast by 2050, and it analysed various potential scenarios for offshore transmission considering the costs and benefits of each pathway, providing a multi-regional planning perspective.