EnerOutlook 2019

EnerOutlook is a free online interactive data software, allowing to browse data through intuitive maps and graphs, for a visual analysis of the expected long-term trends in the energy industry.
These can be viewed globally and by world region. The interface provides robust forecasts on energy supply and demand as well as information on fossil fuel prices, renewable energies and CO2 emissions.

This application is an excerpt of the complete EnerFuture global forecast service based on the POLES model.

Access to projections:
  • On total primary and final consumption, with details for electricity and natural gas;
  • On fossil fuel prices;
  • On CO2 emissions;
  • On energy and climate indicators;
  • Covering the whole world with 7 regional groupings;
  • Including data for the period 2015-2040.

Free data export in *.xls files for advanced analysis.
Total primary energy consumption 2040

EnerOutlook Presentation


Download the EnerOutlook 2019 presentation to have an overview of the main outcomes of our central scenario EnerBlue in various world regions.
The presentation includes details on the underlying assumptions of this scenario, along with insightful graphs and learnings on the future of energy systems through 2040.

Download the publication


Canada's crude oil production expected to increase by 1.3%/year by 2035

According to the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP), crude oil production in Canada is expected to increase by 1.27%/year until 2035. Production should increase by around 3%/year until 2021 before slowing down to +1%/year through 2035. The growth will come from Western Canada (+1.4%/year), whereas production should decline by 0.1%/year in eastern Canada. Oil sands, which account for 2/3 of the current production, will remain the primary driver for growth, despite a continuous decline in investments, due to regulatory and policy challenges: investments in oil sands is expected to decline for the fifth year in a row in 2019, from C$34bn (US$25bn) in 2014 to around C$12bn (US$9bn) in 2019. However, oil sands production is expected to surge by 46% by 2035. In the short term, oil sands production growth should average 4%/year over the 2019-2021 period.


China should spur global gas demand growth by 2024

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), global gas demand should continue to increase over the next five years, spurred by a dynamic demand in Asia and by the steady development of the international gas trade. Gas consumption would then rise by 10% between 2018 and 2024 (around +1.6%/year).


NNPC expects Nigeria's gas demand to increase fivefold by 2027

Nigeria's national oil and gas company Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) expects domestic gas demand in Nigeria to increase five-fold (+393%) within the next eight years. This surge in gas demand would mainly come from the power sector (additional demand of 5.7 bcf/d, i.e. nearly +59 bcm/year). Domestic supply should also increase, thanks to the "Seven Critical Gas Development Projects" (7CGDP), which would produce an additional 3.5 bcf/d (36 bcm/year) of gas in 2021. Gas supply will also be improved with the completion of the ELPS II (Escravos Lagos Pipeline System) looping and with the OB3 (Obiafu/Obrikom/Oben) project.


Renewables are becoming the cheapest source of new power generation

According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), renewables are the cheapest energy sources for new power generation in most parts of the world. The cost of electricity generated from bioenergy, hydropower, geothermal, onshore and offshore wind power was estimated to be within the range of fossil-fuel-fired power generation costs over the 2010-2018 period. The global-weighted average cost of solar PV has also been competing with fossil power generation since 2014.

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